Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 80.4%
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33
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
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13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Mar 24 13:06 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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KalshiKurallar
The resolution criteria I'll use is:
- Yes: I get evidence that I could give the best version of GPT-5 an image of a series of IMO questions, and get gold-medal level answers with minimal prompt engineering
- No: I get evidence that the best version of GPT-5 scores cannot be reasonably expected to demonstrate gold-medal level performance
- If there are credible reports of it scoring at a gold-medal level on the 2024, 2025, or 2026 IMO questions, I will consider this to be enough evidence to resolve this market as Yes.
- Given this is not my area of expertise I'll be open to suggestions in modifying this criteria, and will be clear about my intentions.
- GPT-5 definition:
