Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 65.9%
Tahminciler
49
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis19 Eki 22 01:07 UTC1 Oca 33 02:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies: #1 search
KalshiGoogle’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes: #1 search
KalshiGoogle’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Actors: #1 search
KalshiWill Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
This market will solve to YES if by Dec 2032, Google Search market share measured by GS Statscounter is lower than 60%.
- Market share as of Oct 2022:
- [image]I am increasingly surprised by AI advances that I think Google's moat could be under attack soon, either by startups or by Apple.
- The pace of copycats to breakthrough models like AlphaFold, GPT-3 and Dalle-2 makes me think people are overestimating how defensible is artificial inteligence breakthroughs.
- Creator policy: I won't bet.
Açık piyasalar
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+9.0pt56.9%
- 2027+3.5pt33%
- 2026+4.0pt10.1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9 Mn
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-5.0pt69%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max-3.0pt3%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-0.5pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.1pt59.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt25%
- Grok+0.6pt7.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺512,2 Mn
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-5.5pt66%
- 1490+-5.0pt56%
- 1500+-0.5pt28%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
- Most popular AI this week
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 66% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2033.
- Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will solve to YES if by Dec 2032, Google Search market share measured by GS Statscounter is lower than 60%.