Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 78.5%
Tahminciler
9
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Haz 26 17:51 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
OpenRouter AI token usage in September
KalshiHow much will global AI inference token usage grow from 2029 to 2030?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if GitHub officially announces or implements a reversal of the usage-based token billing model (which utilizes GitHub AI Credits) introduced on June 1, 2026, and returns to a legacy model such as a request-based billing system (Premium Request Units) or a standard flat-rate billing system for active GitHub Copilot subscriptions.
- This market resolves to NO if no such structural reversion is announced or implemented by December 31, 2026 (or another date specified by the market creator).
- Source of Truth: Official statements on the GitHub Blog or updates within the GitHub Copilot Documentation.
- Clarification: Adjustments to the amount of included monthly AI Credits, lowering token costs, or creating new pricing tiers within the token consumption framework will not trigger a YES resolution.
- The change must be a structural departure from billing strictly by input, output, and cached token consumption.
Açık piyasalar
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+9.0pt56.9%
- 2027+3.5pt33%
- 2026+4.0pt10.1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9 Mn
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-5.0pt69%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max-3.0pt3%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-0.5pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.1pt59.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt25%
- Grok+0.6pt7.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺512,2 Mn
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-5.5pt66%
- 1490+-5.0pt56%
- 1500+-0.5pt28%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
- Most popular AI this week
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 79% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria