Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027?
PolitikaOne-OffUS PoliticsSeçim3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 87%
Tahminciler
25
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis25 Nis 26 07:04 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Gavin Newsom formally announces his candidacy for the 2028 U.S. presidential election through an official campaign launch, a filing with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), or a definitive public statement confirming he is running for President.
- The announcement must occur before 12:00 AM ET on January 1, 2027.
- If no such formal announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to NO.
- Reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, Politico, The New York Times) will be used to verify the announcement.
- Gavin Newsom, the Governor of California, is frequently discussed as a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination in future presidential election cycles.
Açık piyasalar
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
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- 24s Hacim
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 87% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria