Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 97.5%
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis28 Haz 24 07:30 UTC6 Oca 27 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Hasan Piker Interview Gavin Newsom in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWill Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
PolymarketGavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom be the favorite for Democratic Nominee on Dec. 31, 2026? [Per Polymarket Data]
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market resolves to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom completes his second term as Governor of California, which is scheduled to end on January 5, 2027.
- The market resolves to "No" if he leaves office for any reason before this date, including resignation, impeachment, or removal.
- Resolution Criteria
- Yes: Gavin Newsom remains Governor of California until January 5, 2027.
- No: Gavin Newsom leaves office before January 5, 2027.
- Resolution Sources
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺40,2 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt55%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.2pt43%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,1 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-3.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 98% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 6 Ocak 2027.
- Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom completes his second term as Governor of California, which is scheduled to end on January 5, 2027.