Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 73.2%
Tahminciler
127
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Nis 22 20:35 UTC1 Oca 30 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any USA state ban self driving cars by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketKurallar
This market's resolution piggybacks on Jeff Atwood and John Carmack's bet documented on the Coding Horror blog: https://blog.codinghorror.com/the-2030-self-driving-car-bet/
- However they resolve their bet is how this market resolves.
Açık piyasalar
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺77,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺76,3 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°-2.0pt28.7%
- 90° or above+11.0pt26.7%
- 86° to 87°-10.0pt25.7%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+9.0pt31.7%
- 160-179-2.0pt21.1%
- 200-219+5.0pt21.1%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+36.0pt99%
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14,6 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 73% fiyatlıyor.
- Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.
- Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market's resolution piggybacks on Jeff Atwood and John Carmack's bet documented on the Coding Horror blog: https://blog.codinghorror.com/the-2030-self-driving-car-bet/