Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 78.2%
Tahminciler
18
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Nis 26 09:42 UTC31 Ara 27 10:38 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
PolymarketUS charges Hormuz fees by which date?
PolymarketIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
LimitlessStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiKurallar
Resolves YES if the conflict ends, but ships still pay fees to Iran to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.
- The payments should be a part of what I deem to be a normalized process in the post-war period for this to resolve YES.
- To determine if the conflict ends, I will use the resolution of https://polymarket.com/event/iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by or of a similar market with expiration dates beyond December 31st.
- If there is no such substantially similar market, and the existing Polymarket answers resolve to NO, I will use a consensus of credible reporting to determine roughly when the conflict ends.
- [link preview]
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺57,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺20,4 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.1pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt80.2%
- Yes-5.0pt19.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺527,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺14 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 3012%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Fees for Passing the Strait of Hormuz Persist? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 78% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Fees for Passing the Strait of Hormuz Persist? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Fees for Passing the Strait of Hormuz Persist? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2027.
- Will Fees for Passing the Strait of Hormuz Persist? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if the conflict ends, but ships still pay fees to Iran to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.