Will Eliezer's AI doom market have a higher P(doom) in the third quarter of 2026 than today's (2023-09-27) 21%?

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
• Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim

₺73,6 Mn

24s Hacim

₺14,3 Mn

GEMINI

BTC price on August 21

• $72,500 or above97.5%
• $73,000 or above97.5%
• $73,500 or above97%

+36 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim

₺8,1 Mn

24s Hacim

₺7,3 Mn

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by __?

• December 31,+2.0pt89%
• October 31,+8.5pt82%
• October 15,-3.5pt50%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
• ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
• ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%

+10 daha fazla sonuç

POLYMARKET

Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

• Alibaba-1.0pt95%
• Company A50%
• Other50%

+22 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+4.6pt68.6%
• Grok-2.1pt10.5%
• ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim

₺440,6 Mn