KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretGüncel ima edilen olasılıkBefore 2027 65%+4.0%8 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
64 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺148,5 B
Likidite
₺1,2 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
60.0% / 65.0%
Spread
8.3%
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
4 dakika önce guncellendi
25 Haz 26 19:001 Oca 27 4:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Before 202765%
Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date
1ay
0%
0%
0%
+22 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini151 tahminciTür: multiple choice
Toplam Hacim₺2,1 Mn
24s Hacim₺23,9 B
MANIFOLD MARKETSKurallar
If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
İlgili Piyasalar
When will OpenAI release GPT-5.6?
₺634,9 BBefore Jul 7, 2026: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which company has best AI model end of July?
₺17,1 MnAnthropic: 91%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best AI this week
₺4,4 MnChatGPT: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
GPT-5.6 released by...?
₺3,8 MnJuly 31: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
₺2,4 Mn↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Top AI model this week
₺1,2 Mnclaude-fable-5: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIBu konularda aktif
İlgili Haberler
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt
Google Unveils Gemini 3.5, Android 17 AI Features in June 2026Blockchain.News
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
Anthropic Launches Claude Sonnet 5: Mid-Tier AI with Opus-Level FeaturesBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsTogether AI Raises $800M Series C for Open-Source AI PushBlockchain.NewsKurallar
If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.