KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Before Sep 18, 2026 (99%)
Sonuçlandı: 7 Eyl 2026 15:43
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
7 Eyl 2026 15:05 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Before Aug 14, 20262%
Before Oct 16, 202699%
Before Sep 18, 202699%
Before Dec 1, 202699%
Before Nov 1, 202699%
Before Sep 18, 2026Kazandı
Before Oct 1, 2026Kaybetti
Before Oct 16, 2026Kaybetti
Before Nov 1, 2026Kaybetti
Before Dec 1, 2026Kaybetti
Before Aug 14, 2026Kaybetti
Before Aug 21, 2026Kaybetti
Before Sep 1, 2026Kaybetti
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
Arşivlenmiş etkinlik düzeyi kurallar. Her sonucun kesin şartları artık mevcut değil.
If OpenAI releases Astra the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:OpenAI
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," an internal model described by OpenAI as its next major frontier system, citing results including the resolution of ten previously open mathematics problems - https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/
- Qualifying Release: The Payout Criterion is satisfied if OpenAI releases a model that either (a) is publicly named "Astra" (including numbered, lettered, or suffixed variants such as "Astra 1," "Astra 6," or "GPT-6 Astra"), or (b) is confirmed by OpenAI, or by a consensus of credible reporting, to share the same underlying model — including the same base architecture, weights, or training run — as the model referenced in OpenAI's August 1, 2026 disclosure, regardless of the commercial name, safety configuration, or access tier under which it is ultimately released.
- A separately-branded release that is derived from or built on the same underlying model as the disclosed Astra model satisfies this clause even if OpenAI markets it as a distinct product (e.g., a safety-restricted variant or a differently-priced tier), provided the shared underlying model is confirmed by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.