Will Eliezer Yudkowsky associate the UFO phenomenon with AI 1 year after losing his UFO bet? (PROB 50 if he wins)
YZOne-Off8y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 52.1%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 Oca 25 20:28 UTC18 Şub 35 03:59 UTC
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Eliezer Yudkowsky, a prominent AI researcher and rationalist, has made public bets regarding UFOs, expressing skepticism about their extraterrestrial origin.
- His current stance on UFOs is rooted in skepticism of the extraterrestrial hypothesis, arguing that any advanced civilization capable of interstellar travel would likely be superintelligent and would have already had a visible impact on Earth.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, within one year after losing his UFO bet, Eliezer Yudkowsky makes public statements (via blog posts, social media, interviews, or other public forums) explicitly connecting or attributing the UFO phenomenon to artificial intelligence or AI-related technology.
- The market will resolve NO if:
- Yudkowsky does not make such associations within the one-year timeframe
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Eliezer Yudkowsky associate the UFO phenomenon with AI 1 year after losing his UFO bet? (PROB 50 if he wins) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 52% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Eliezer Yudkowsky associate the UFO phenomenon with AI 1 year after losing his UFO bet? (PROB 50 if he wins) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Eliezer Yudkowsky associate the UFO phenomenon with AI 1 year after losing his UFO bet? (PROB 50 if he wins) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 18 Şubat 2035.
- Will Eliezer Yudkowsky associate the UFO phenomenon with AI 1 year after losing his UFO bet? (PROB 50 if he wins) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Eliezer Yudkowsky, a prominent AI researcher and rationalist, has made public bets regarding UFOs, expressing skepticism about their extraterrestrial origin.