Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 98.2%
Tahminciler
64
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Nis 23 14:28 UTC1 Oca 30 05:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Aella have a child by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
Manifold MarketsEliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
[tweet]Resolves based on the time of conception, not birth.
- An adopted child would count, as would a surrogate.
- (In the case of adoption, resolves based on the time of legal adoption.)
Açık piyasalar
Society & CultureKALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Iran (3+ times)99%
- Renoir99%
- Pardon99%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,2 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-1.5pt45%
- 65-89+3.0pt28%
- <40-5.0pt15%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No96%
- Yes-76.0pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺474,8 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺418,6 B
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺865,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺53,7 B
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Aella have a child by the end of 2029? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 98% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Aella have a child by the end of 2029? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Aella have a child by the end of 2029? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.
- Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Aella have a child by the end of 2029? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: [tweet]Resolves based on the time of conception, not birth.