Will Daniel Ortega lose power in 2026?
One-OffPolitikaABD SiyasetiSeçimJeopolitikLatin AmerikaSuç ve Adalet2ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 90%
Tahminciler
8
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
19 dakika önce güncellendi
21 Tem 26 17:26 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War
Manifold MarketsWill Amancio Ortega (Spanish businessman) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsFirst to lose power: Khomeini, Trump or Netanyahu?
Manifold MarketsWill Myanmar's military junta lose power before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Gannon Ken Van Dyke before 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point on or before December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM UTC), Daniel Ortega ceases to be the President (or Co-President/head of state) of Nicaragua, or otherwise definitively loses de facto power.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- To resolve to YES, one of the following events must occur and be confirmed by credible international media outlets (such as Reuters, the Associated Press, or BBC) on or before the December 31, 2026 deadline:
- Official Removal or Resignation: Daniel Ortega officially resigns, is removed, or is otherwise replaced as President/head of state.
- Death or Permanent Incapacitation: Daniel Ortega is officially declared deceased or permanently incapacitated, resulting in a successor (such as Co-President Rosario Murillo) officially assuming the presidency.
