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Evet 90%
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12
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
27 dakika önce güncellendi
15 Nis 26 16:46 UTC1 Şub 28 00:00 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will "An analysis of AI-generated content at the Me..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' by Olivia Rodrigo rank on the Billboard 200 chart dated Sep 19, 2026?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Açık piyasalar
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+9.0pt56.9%
- 2027+3.5pt33%
- 2026+4.0pt10.1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9 Mn
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-5.0pt69%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max-3.0pt3%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-0.5pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.1pt59.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt25%
- Grok+0.6pt7.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺512,2 Mn
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-5.5pt66%
- 1490+-5.0pt56%
- 1500+-0.5pt28%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
- Most popular AI this week
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 90% fiyatlıyor.
- Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Şubat 2028.
- Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.