Will Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president?
PolitikaOne-OffUS PoliticsSeçim6yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 65.3%
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if a Democratic president appoints Clarence Thomas's replacement to the Supreme Court.
- This market resolves NO if a Republican president appoints his replacement.
- Resolution will be determined by the party affiliation of the president who nominates and the Senate that confirms the replacement justice.
- The replacement must specifically fill Thomas's seat—expansion of the Court or replacement of other justices (Alito, Sotomayor, etc.) does not count.
- Thomas has served as an associate justice of the Supreme Court since 1991, and has surpassed Justice Hugo Black to become the fifth-longest-serving justice in U.S. Supreme Court history as of November 2025.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 65% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 19 Ocak 2033.
- Will Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria