KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Before Jan 1, 2028 38%3 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺1,1 Mn
Orta likiditeSpread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
4 dakika önce güncellendi
27 Tem 26 22:00 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by which date?
PolymarketWill Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketKurallar
If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Supreme Court of the United States
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,6 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-2.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance45.1%
- Marco Rubio-1.0pt19.6%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.9%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mr
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,7 Mn
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Trump out as President by September 30?
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before Jan 1, 2028 için 38% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.