Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 26 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 78.7% fiyatlıyor.

Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will China's next (fourth) aircraft carrier be nuclear-powered? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 20 Mart 2030.

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Evet 78.7%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

13 dakika önce güncellendi

13 Mar 24 13:20 UTC20 Mar 30 15:59 UTC

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Sonuç24sOlasılık

Kurallar

Resolves YES or NO when a Chinese government body disseminates information that makes this question clear.

We should not assume that this information will come any particular time, and it might be the case that it becomes an open secret, but resolution should still wait for official confirmation.
Would resolve NA if it became clear there will be no next aircraft carrier
Update 2025-12-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator will not bet on this market
If China is simultaneously working on both nuclear and non-nuclear carriers, the market resolves based on whichever carrier is the fourth to be commissioned