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Gecikmeli8 Nis 26 14:20 UTC31 Ara 27 05:00 UTC
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Will China October 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China October 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?
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This market resolves YES if China October 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 20 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending October 2027, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 20 tonnes for October 2027 NO if: Export volume below 20 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)