Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 81%
Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis24 Ara 25 07:08 UTC31 Ara 35 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?
PolymarketWill China have 4 aircraft carriers by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Navy commission more than three Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Navy commission more than five Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Navy commission more than four Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
https://x.com/RyanFedasiuk/status/2003634067997409613?s=20
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if China launches nine or more aircraft carriers by December 31, 2035. "Launch" is defined as the vessel having its official launch ceremony, not the date of the dry dock flooding or when it is commissioned into service.
- Resolution will be verified through official Chinese state media announcements.
- As of 2025, China has three active aircraft carriers: the Liaoning, Shandong, and Fujian.
- A fourth carrier, the Type 004, has been under construction since 2024 and is expected to feature nuclear propulsion.