Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 58.6%
Tahminciler
1
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
6 Nis 26 18:23 UTC31 Ara 27 05:00 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026?
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PolymarketWorlds 2026 Winning Region
PolymarketKurallar
This market resolves YES if China has active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si, HS 2804.69) on December 31, 2027.
- YES if: Active MOFCOM licensing, quota, or ban on MG-Si in effect on Dec 31, 2027 NO if: MG-Si exports proceed under normal MFN conditions
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- China MOFCOM export control registry
- US Department of Commerce / BIS China trade policy updates
- Reuters, Bloomberg, FT China trade reporting