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24 Eki 2026 11:40 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 85%
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Gecikmeli6 Nis 26 18:23 UTC31 Ara 26 05:00 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of silicon metal on December 31, 2026?
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PolymarketKurallar
This market resolves YES if China's Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) or State Council has active export control measures — including licensing requirements, quotas, or bans — specifically targeting silicon metal (MG-Si, HS 2804.69) on December 31, 2026.
- YES if: Active MOFCOM export licensing, quota, or ban on MG-Si in effect on Dec 31, 2026 NO if: MG-Si exports proceed under normal MFN conditions with no additional restrictions
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- China MOFCOM export control registry (mofcom.gov.cn)
- China State Council / NDRC official trade policy announcements
- US Department of Commerce / BIS China trade policy updates
