Will Chatgpt-type chatbots become extinct before 2100? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 19 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 65.2% fiyatlıyor.

Will Chatgpt-type chatbots become extinct before 2100? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will Chatgpt-type chatbots become extinct before 2100? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2099.

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria

YZOne-Off

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 65.2%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

1 saat önce güncellendi

Gecikmeli

16 Eyl 26 05:54 UTC31 Ara 99 11:00 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Kurallar

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2100, "ChatGPT-type chatbots" are deemed extinct.
Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
For the purposes of this market:
"ChatGPT-type chatbots" are defined as conversational user interfaces where a human inputs text, voice, or multimodal prompts to a Large Language Model (LLM) or equivalent successor architecture, and receives a direct conversational, turn-based response back.
"Extinct" means that such conversational chatbot interfaces are no longer actively maintained, sold, or offered to the public or enterprise clients by any of the top 10 global technology companies (by market capitalization) or their direct corporate successors, having been entirely phased out or replaced by other paradigms (e.g., autonomous agentic swarms, direct neural interfaces, or ambient computing without a chat interface).