Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 84.1%
Tahminciler
66
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
17 dakika önce güncellendi
6 Ara 25 11:10 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PolymarketWhat will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill openAI retain >50% chatbot market share through 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a romantic relationship with an AI chatbot comprise 25% of all relationships within the USA before the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves to this site: AI Chatbot Market Share Worldwide | Statcounter Global Stats
- ChatGPT has steadily held 80% market share according to that site.
- Update 2026-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market resolves YES if ChatGPT falls below 75% market share at any point during 2026 (not just at year-end), as measured on the linked Statcounter site for all platforms worldwide.
- Update 2026-10-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve using the monthly time series from the linked Statcounter site.
