Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 99.1%
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42
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
29 Kas 22 07:19 UTC21 Oca 29 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?
Manifold MarketsWill Stephen Hsu's kids become friends with Bryan Caplan's kids?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Caplan lose any of his public bets by 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS meets its climate goals?
KalshiIndia meets its 2030 climate goals?
KalshiEU meets its 2030 climate goals?
KalshiKurallar
https://www.econlib.org/archives/2014/06/bauman_climate_1.html
- Arguing for YES is Bryan's uncanny track record -- he's never lost a public bet ever!
- Arguing for NO is that global temperatures have gone up a lot in the 8 years since the bet was shaken on.
- You can look at the graph and see that Bryan Caplan was wrong.
- Related market: https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/will-bryan-caplan-lose-any-of-his-p
- Close date updated to 2024-05-15 3:59 pm
Açık piyasalar
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 21, 2026?
- Providence+93.0pt99%
- New York City+96.0pt99%
- Columbus+14.0pt99%
+24 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺11,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺11,2 Mn
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 21?
- 33°C+94.0pt100%
- 25°C or below0%
- 26°C0%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 21?
- 24°C+35.0pt55.9%
- 25°C+10.5pt41.2%
- 26°C-25.5pt2.9%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 21?
- 31°C+53.8pt100%
- 24°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 21?
- 36°C+67.4pt100%
- 27°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 28°C0%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Busan on September 21?
- 28°C+71.5pt100%
- 23°C or below0%
- 24°C0%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 21?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 21?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 21?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 21?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
- Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 21?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 21?
- Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 21?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 21, 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 21 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 99% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 21 Ocak 2029.
- Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: https://www.econlib.org/archives/2014/06/bauman_climate_1.html