Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 91.9%
Tahminciler
15
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis20 Mar 23 10:30 UTC2 Oca 00 07:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)?
Manifold MarketsChad Jones wins Nobel Prize in Economics before 2033?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiNobel Prize in Economics 2026
Kalshi2026 Nobel Physics winner?
KalshiKurallar
Resolves positively immediately upon award, or negatively after the first round of Prizes awarded after his death.
Açık piyasalar
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺876,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1 Mn
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺291,7 B
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺51,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺85,3 B
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000+1.0pt60%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺48,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺58,5 B
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Aubrey de Grey ever win a Nobel Prize? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 92% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Aubrey de Grey ever win a Nobel Prize? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Aubrey de Grey ever win a Nobel Prize? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2200.
- Will Aubrey de Grey ever win a Nobel Prize? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves positively immediately upon award, or negatively after the first round of Prizes awarded after his death.