Will at least 1% of new car sales be flying cars by 2040? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 27 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 84.2% fiyatlıyor.

Will at least 1% of new car sales be flying cars by 2040? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will at least 1% of new car sales be flying cars by 2040? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2041.

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Within any single country with a population of at least 10 million people.

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30 Kas 23 17:51 UTC1 Oca 41 05:59 UTC

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Within any single country with a population of at least 10 million people.

"Flying cars" are herein defined as vehicles which are legal to operate on the roads of the country, and which also can be operated as legal aircraft in that same country.
The two operations modes are not required to be covered by the same license.
No type certificate, production certificate, or equivalent is required (although they are expected and hoped for).
Fleet operators renting vehicles out to the public would qualify if the sales quantity is met.
An example of a "yes" resolution in the US would be a street-legal car which is also legal to fly under 14 CFR 23, 25, 27, 91, 103, or equivalent, and can be operated by anyone with a driver's license and appropriate flight certificate (or none, in the case of §103 and/or potential self-driving capability).