Will any US Senate candidate have 50.1% or more in the polling average and lose?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim11g
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 73.1%
Tahminciler
13
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
26 dakika önce güncellendi
8 Eki 26 19:40 UTC10 Kas 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will any US Senate candidate lead the polling average by 3% or more and lose?
Manifold MarketsWill any US Senate candidate lead the polling average by 8% or more and lose?
Manifold MarketsWill any US Senate candidate lead the polling average by 5% or more and lose?
Manifold MarketsWhich Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExFall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate
PolymarketKurallar
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2026-midterm-election-polls-model
- Resolves YES if in any 2026 US Senate election on the Silver Bulletin average, a candidate has 50.1% or more of the vote and loses.
- The final polling average on silver bulletin will be used.
