Will any of OpenAI, Anthropic, or Databricks go public with a market cap over $200B by August 15, 2026?
Corporate ActionsYZOne-OffBusiness & CorporateManifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: No (99%)
Sonuçlandı: 15 Ağu 2026 21:40
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 99%
Tahminciler
23
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Oca 26 0:5215 Ağu 26 21:40
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Kurallar
Prop resolves Yes if, by August 15, 2026, any of OpenAI, Anthropic, or Databricks have an IPO or direct listing with closing market cap over $200 billion.
- This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.
