Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 87.1%
Tahminciler
13
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis17 Mar 23 19:17 UTC1 Oca 30 08:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear weapon be detonated before strong AGI?
Manifold MarketsWill any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?
Manifold MarketsNew nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
FutuurUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketKurallar
The detonation must include a nuclear component.
- The conventional explosives going off due to some accident or malfunction doesn't count.