Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 83%
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16
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Tem 23 09:24 UTC31 Ara 32 21:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?
Manifold MarketsWill South Korea's total fertility rate exceed 1 by 2035
Manifold MarketsIn twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
Currently the highest is France at 1.84 (live births per woman).
- Note that the measure I'm using here is slightly different from "replacement rate" (which is 2.1).
Açık piyasalar
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺32,8 Mn
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺46,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺6,1 Mn
POLYMARKETMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- AfD+2.0pt79.2%
- SPD-2.0pt20.8%
- CDU0%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.0pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-2.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.8pt1%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Berlin State Election Winner
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
- AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will any EU country achieve fertility rate >=2.0 by the end of 2032? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 83% fiyatlıyor.
- Will any EU country achieve fertility rate >=2.0 by the end of 2032? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will any EU country achieve fertility rate >=2.0 by the end of 2032? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2032.
- Will any EU country achieve fertility rate >=2.0 by the end of 2032? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Currently the highest is France at 1.84 (live births per woman).