Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 77.7%
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16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis8 Eyl 23 19:32 UTC1 Şub 27 21:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
António Guterres out by December 31?
PolymarketWill an Italian conservative party remain in office until 2027 ?
Manifold MarketsWill Mark Carney remain in office as Prime Minister of Canada through the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich of Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through the end of 2026?
FutuurTrump dies in office during his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsWill Antonio Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
António Guterres is the SecGen of the UN.
- His 2nd term began on 1st of Jan 2022 and will end in 2027.
- This will resolve as no if he does not complete his 2nd term for any reason - resignation, death, etc.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.0pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,5 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.9pt47.8%
- October 31-3.0pt29.2%
- September 30-4.0pt12.4%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-5.0pt74%
- September 18-10.0pt67%
- September 11-2.5pt63%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- July 310%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will António Guterres remain in office until the end of his 2nd term? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 78% fiyatlıyor.
- Will António Guterres remain in office until the end of his 2nd term? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will António Guterres remain in office until the end of his 2nd term? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Şubat 2027.
- Will António Guterres remain in office until the end of his 2nd term? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: António Guterres is the SecGen of the UN.