Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 51%
Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Ağu 26 17:59 UTC15 Eyl 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ella Langley hold all Top 3 spots on the Billboard Hot 100 this year?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
As of 2026-08-12 the LMArena **Text (Overall)** leaderboard has Anthropic holding all three top spots: claude-fable-5 (1507±5), claude-opus-4-6-thinking (1505±4), claude-opus-4-7-thinking (1502±4).
- Meta's muse-spark-1.2 (xHigh) sits at #4 on 1499±10 — inside the error bars of #3. grok-4.6-high entered at #43 (1464±12, preliminary) on release day.
- RESOLUTION: Resolves YES if, at 23:59 UTC on 2026-09-15, the three highest-scoring models in the default Text (Overall) view of the LMArena leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text — formerly lmarena.ai) are ALL listed with Anthropic as the provider/organization.
- Resolves NO if any model from another organization occupies one of those three slots.
- Details: judged on Arena Score, default view, style control as the site ships it by default.
- Different sizes/variants of Anthropic models each count as Anthropic.
Açık piyasalar
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-13.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-high+1.0pt5%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,8 Mn
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+20.0pt63.5%
- 2027-3.5pt26.1%
- 2026+5.5pt10.4%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-0.5pt86%
- November 30,85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude61.8%
- ChatGPT-4.9pt22.6%
- Grok+1.5pt7.8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺511,4 Mn
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+4.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-3.0pt12%
- Grok2.8%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-3.0pt67%
- 1490+-5.5pt50%
- 1500+-10.0pt23%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Anthropic hold all 3 top spots on the LMArena Text leaderboard on September 15, 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 51% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Anthropic hold all 3 top spots on the LMArena Text leaderboard on September 15, 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Anthropic hold all 3 top spots on the LMArena Text leaderboard on September 15, 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 15 Eylül 2026.
- Will Anthropic hold all 3 top spots on the LMArena Text leaderboard on September 15, 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: As of 2026-08-12 the LMArena **Text (Overall)** leaderboard has Anthropic holding all three top spots: claude-fable-5 (1507±5), claude-opus-4-6-thinking (1505±4), claude-opus-4-7-thinking (1502±4).