Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
25 Eki 2026 21:45 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 70.5%
Hayır 70.5%Tahminciler
32
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis26 May 23 06:29 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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PolymarketKurallar
Policy criteria for YES resolution:
- Is a formal legislation
- Is nationwide (not a regional trial)
- Is stable (not a one-off payment; planned for at least 5+ years into the future)
- Occurs before Jan 1, 2040 EST
- If no policy satisfying all of the above conditions are implemented, the market will resolve NO.
