Will an F-22 Raptor shoot down a manned military aircraft before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 25 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 66.5% fiyatlıyor.

Will an F-22 Raptor shoot down a manned military aircraft before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will an F-22 Raptor shoot down a manned military aircraft before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: F-22s have performed combat sorties and have bombed targets in Syria and elsewhere.

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25 Eki 2026 20:15 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4

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F-22s have performed combat sorties and have bombed targets in Syria and elsewhere.

They have also shot down an alleged Chinese spy balloon and some other high-altitude objects.
There is, as far as I can tell, not a confirmed kill of a manned military aircraft from this type.
The question will resolve to Yes if a F-22 shoots down a manned figher, bomber, transport or other military aircraft from the time of posting this question and before January 1st, 2030.
Helicopters count as valid kills fo.
Accidental kills also count, just as long as they don't involve aircraft collision.