Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing?
YZOne-Off1y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 72%
Tahminciler
66
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
18 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis19 Haz 22 02:06 UTC1 Oca 28 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?
Manifold MarketsAny one of Half Life 3, the Winds of Winter, or Elder Scrolls 6 announced before the end of 2027
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality novel to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsWill Preston Jacobs/SweetRobin's "The Winds of Winter" fan-fiction be completed before the real thing is announced?
Manifold MarketsThe Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Market resolved if someone shows me a "Winds of Winter" novel attempt, written by an AI that has cleared read or understands the other books, that I like
- Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has extended the market close date to 2027 (instead of resolving N/A due to no submissions by the original deadline).