Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 92.2%
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14
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis31 Eki 25 11:55 UTC31 Eki 26 22:59 UTC
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At the time of posting, litigation, led by Comcast and its subsidiaries, was underway against all of the leading AI music generation firms.
- On October 30, 2025, one of the firms, Udio, "settled" with the plaintiffs, and the terms of the settlement resulted in the effective closure of their service.
- Suno, another firm, is facing the same claims and engaged in largely the same behavior, but is defending itself with a different argument - that the labels have unclean hands because they engaged in an anticompetitive scheme to suppress AI generation for their own benefit, and is using discovery to try to prove that argument.
- If they cannot find evidence of this alleged scheme, they may shortly "settle" as well.
- This market will resolve to YES if, on Halloween 2026, it is not possible to generate music of the same quality for the same or lower price as it was on October 30, 2025 before Udio closed, download it in a lossless format, and possess full ownership and distribution rights.
- The "price" might be a subscription fee, or per-track.
Açık piyasalar
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-13.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-high+1.0pt5%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,8 Mn
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+20.0pt63.5%
- 2027-3.5pt26.1%
- 2026+5.5pt10.4%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-0.5pt86%
- November 30,85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude61.8%
- ChatGPT-4.9pt22.6%
- Grok+1.5pt7.8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺511,4 Mn
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+4.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-3.0pt12%
- Grok2.8%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-3.0pt67%
- 1490+-5.5pt50%
- 1500+-10.0pt23%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 92% fiyatlıyor.
- Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Ekim 2026.
- Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: At the time of posting, litigation, led by Comcast and its subsidiaries, was underway against all of the leading AI music generation firms.