Will a trans woman give birth before 2033? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 31 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 73.6% fiyatlıyor.

Will a trans woman give birth before 2033? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will a trans woman give birth before 2033? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2033.

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This July the first woman to receive a uterus transplant outside a clinical trial gave birth.

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 73.6%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

13 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

27 Eyl 23 04:22 UTC1 Oca 33 07:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Kurallar

This July the first woman to receive a uterus transplant outside a clinical trial gave birth.

This market resolves YES if a trans woman receives a uterus transplant and successfully gives birth before 2033.
This market resolves no if that does not happen.
Definitions:
For the purposes of this market a trans woman is a woman who was assigned male at birth and was born without a uterus.
For the woman to successfully give birth she must 1) carry the pregnancy to the point of fetal viability (23/24 weeks) and 2) survive.