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Evet 66.7%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
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11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Kas 24 15:47 UTC1 Oca 50 04:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2045?
Manifold MarketsWill a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
KalshiWill a quantum computer factor a 6-bit number by 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
The RSA‑2048 challenge number is a 617‑digit (2048‑bit) semiprime released by RSA Laboratories as a public benchmark for integer‑factorisation research.
- Demonstrating its factorisation with a general‑purpose quantum computer—one capable of running Shor’s algorithm (or an equivalent quantum‑factoring routine) at scale—would effectively break today’s RSA‑based public‑key cryptography.
- Resolution Criteria
- Evidence required – A peer‑reviewed paper in a recognized scientific journal must show that only a quantum computer was used to factor the full RSA‑2048 challenge number.
- Classical assistance – Limited classical pre‑ or post‑processing (e.g., compiling the circuit, verifying the output) is allowed, but the actual factorization step must be done by quantum hardware.
- Timing - The peer-reviewed paper’s publication date occurs before Jan 1, 2050 for the market to resolve YES.
Açık piyasalar
CryptoKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,000 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
+77 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺57,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺56,3 Mn
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 8?
- 76,000+1.4pt100%
- 68,000100%
- 70,000100%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺69,4 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺55,1 Mn
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M97%
- $25M94%
- $50M87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14,6 Mn
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 daha fazla sonuç
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 8?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?
- Bitcoin price on September 8?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2050? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 67% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2050? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2050? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2050.
- Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2050? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The RSA‑2048 challenge number is a 617‑digit (2048‑bit) semiprime released by RSA Laboratories as a public benchmark for integer‑factorisation research.