Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 83.4%
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis28 Oca 24 03:03 UTC1 Oca 51 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsNuclear weapon explosion in Taiwan through 2026
Manifold MarketsNuclear weapon explosion in Taiwan through 2029
Manifold MarketsNew nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
FutuurUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Start counting from market creation (Jan 27,2024).
- Including tests.
- Only count deaths directly related to the explosion within 10 days of the explosion.