Will a major AI company publish a “responsible scaling policy” for AI consciousness by 2030?
YZOne-Off3y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 54.9%
Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli4 Şub 24 23:21 UTC1 Oca 30 07:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
A responsible scaling policy (RSP) or risk-informed development policy (RDP) is a framework adopted by companies like Anthropic and OpenAI that aims to ensure that they do not release catastrophically unsafe AIs.
- Such a framework defines levels of concerning capabilities and corresponding types of safety mitigations that would be adopted, and compliance is monitored through ongoing evaluations.
- Will a major AI company adopt an “RSP for AI consciousness” by the end of 2029? This would involve:
- Defining features or indicators of consciousness to be monitored
- Outlining mitigation measures to avoid suffering or conscious AIs
- See also: Project ideas: Sentience and rights of digital minds (substack.com)
