![Will a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2Flastuserhere%252Fe0f90ec98c52.jpg&w=128&q=80)
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
2034 88.9%11 seçenek arasında lider
2034 88.9%Tahminciler
63
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli10 Oca 24 09:22 UTC30 Ara 33 19:30 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a human land on the moon by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a human land on the moon Io?
Manifold MarketsWill a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
KalshiWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiKurallar
Once a human lands on the moon in year X, all the years after the year X will resolve to YES as well.
- The "human" landing on the "moon" must be a safe landing in the sense that the human lands on the moon alive.
- That's all that matters.
- i will resolve the 2024 option soon after the creation of the market, as it was only to create continuity.
