Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 79%
Tahminciler
14
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis8 Ağu 26 07:46 UTC14 Mar 27 02:00 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
This market asks whether a film containing AI-generated video will win at least one Academy Award at the 2027 Oscars. “AI-generated video” means footage or visual sequences substantially created or altered using generative AI video models, rather than ordinary CGI, visual effects, upscaling, or conventional digital editing.
- The market resolves YES if a qualifying film wins at least one Oscar at the 99th Academy Awards on March 14, 2027.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- The determination will be based on publicly available information about the winning film and whether generative AI was used to create or substantially alter video footage.
- The 2027 Oscars are scheduled for March 14, 2027, at 7 p.m. ET.
- For reference, see the official Oscars website.
Açık piyasalar
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+37.0pt73.3%
- 940 - 950m-38.0pt23.8%
- <940m-0.2pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,6 Mn
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+32.0pt63%
- Jack Barton-3.0pt18%
- Callum Turner-13.0pt14%
+27 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺100,8 Mn
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+33.8pt50.5%
- No Bond chosen-7.6pt15.2%
- Jack Barton-0.8pt11.4%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell-1.0pt12.5%
+14 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺226,2 Mn
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-14.0pt68.3%
- Yes+14.0pt31.7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mn
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+1.0pt99%
- Above 55+1.0pt99%
- Above 4599%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
- Post Malone: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a film containing AI-generated video win an Oscar at the 2027 Academy Awards? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 79% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a film containing AI-generated video win an Oscar at the 2027 Academy Awards? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a film containing AI-generated video win an Oscar at the 2027 Academy Awards? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 14 Mart 2027.
- Will a film containing AI-generated video win an Oscar at the 2027 Academy Awards? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market asks whether a film containing AI-generated video will win at least one Academy Award at the 2027 Oscars. “AI-generated video” means footage or visual sequences substantially created or altered using generative AI video models, rather than ordinary CGI, visual effects, upscaling, or conventional digital editing.