Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 60.4%
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis17 Ara 23 14:58 UTC1 Mar 50 22:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2055?
Manifold MarketsWill a laser lift a payload to space before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill a laser lift a payload to space before 2045?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves as YES if a directed energy system has levitated a payload of at least 10 grams to the height of 100km before January 1st 2050.
- The payload must be lifted from at maximum 50km by the system (the payload can be released by, for example, a balloon), and must reach an altitude of at least 100km.
- The mass of the payload must be at least 10g when crossing the 100km threshold (the mass of the payload may decrease during levitation due to ablation).
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-directed-energy-system-lift-35fc264bbc88
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-directed-energy-system-lift-42027c4cebd3
Açık piyasalar
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-0.9pt9.9%
- Google+0.1pt2%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺126,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,1 Mn
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- September 30-3.5pt85%
- Successful splash down?+1.0pt84%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes97%
- No3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺8,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mn
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-4.0pt86%
- Above 9-23.0pt48%
- Above 10-13.0pt18%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 60% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Mart 2050.
- Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves as YES if a directed energy system has levitated a payload of at least 10 grams to the height of 100km before January 1st 2050.