Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?
JeopolitikOne-Off1y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
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Play-money forecasting platform
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7 dakika önce güncellendi
4 Nis 26 11:33 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC
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Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?
- The ship must not be decommissioned but must be actively in service.
- The perpetrator could be a state’s navy, a special operations unit, a terrorist organization, or a lone terrorist. “Sunk” means that the ship is rendered unseaworthy and at least 50% of its above-water superstructure is submerged.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if, before 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2027, a cruise ship is sunk by a state military force, a terrorist organization, or a lone actor.
- For the purpose of this market:
