Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?
JeopolitikOne-Off1y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 89.1%
Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Nis 26 11:33 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland?
Manifold MarketsChina to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?
- The ship must not be decommissioned but must be actively in service.
- The perpetrator could be a state’s navy, a special operations unit, a terrorist organization, or a lone terrorist. “Sunk” means that the ship is rendered unseaworthy and at least 50% of its above-water superstructure is submerged.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if, before 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2027, a cruise ship is sunk by a state military force, a terrorist organization, or a lone actor.
- For the purpose of this market:
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.0pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,5 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.9pt47.8%
- October 31-3.0pt29.2%
- September 30-4.0pt12.4%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-5.0pt74%
- September 18-10.0pt67%
- September 11-2.5pt63%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- July 310%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 89% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2027.
- Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?