Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 88.2%
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Oca 26 11:58 UTC2 Oca 27 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 10 or more US banks fail in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 6 or more US banks fail in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich banks will fail by end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich central banks will hike before 2027?
KalshiWhich banks will take Anthropic public?
KalshiKurallar
This prediction market is about the failure of US banks in the year 2026.
- The outcome will be determined by the FDIC's "Failed Bank List" (https://www.fdic.gov/bank-failures/failed-bank-list).
- This market will be resolved as YES if there are 8 or more records in "Failed Bank List" that have year 2026 in the column "Closing Date".
- This will be resolved YES shortly after such condition is met.
- This market will be resolved as NO if, at the beginning of 2027, there are fewer than 8 records with a "Closing Date" in 2026 on the "Failed Bank List".
- Author betting rules
Açık piyasalar
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺703,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,5 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-23.0pt41%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-9.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-4.0pt33%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-4.0pt94%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T-2.3pt17.4%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+18.0pt87%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 88% fiyatlıyor.
- Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2027.
- Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This prediction market is about the failure of US banks in the year 2026.