Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiDemocrats 63.8%14 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
40
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-0.8 pts
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Haz 25 12:47 UTC6 Kas 28 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political party of the candidate who wins the 2028 United States presidential election, scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The winning party will be determined based on the candidate who secures the majority of electoral votes as reported by reputable sources such as the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and major news outlets like The New York Times and CNN.
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election will determine the nation's leadership for the subsequent four years.
- As of June 2025, several potential candidates from both major parties are being discussed:
- Republican Party: Vice President JD Vance is considered a frontrunner, with a 25% chance of winning the 2028 presidential race, according to SportsBettingDime.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- ForecastEx üzerinde de mevcut — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 65%
- Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut — Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes 66%
- Robinhood (Rothera) üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 62%
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
