PredictItKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmamış sonuçlanma verisiRetail prediction exchange
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Democratic 58%
Yöntem
Retail prediction exchange
Soru türü
-
24s Hacim
₺1,9 B
Piyasa verileri
1 dakika önce güncellendi
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
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PolymarketWho will win the 2028 US presidential election?
PredictItKurallar
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Bu piyasayı şu anda 2 platform fiyatlıyor. CoinRithm'in Democratic için likidite ağırlıklı referans olasılığı %67. Kotasyonlar en uçtaki platformlar arasında yaklaşık 9 puan fark gösteriyor. Platformlar hangi sonucun önde olduğu konusunda hemfikir değil.
CoinRithm referansı Democratic 67% · 2 platform · 9 puan venue farkı
- ForecastEx üzerinde de mevcut — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut — Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election? · Democratic Party 61%
- Robinhood (Rothera) üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 57%
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) · Democratic party 59%
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+3.0pt73.3%
- Yes-3.0pt26.7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺795,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺33,1 Mn
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt48.1%
- D-House, R-Senate34.6%
- R-House, R-Senate15.4%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺677 Mn
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,6 Mr
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+19.0pt64%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+10.0pt53%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+17.0pt53%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt13%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.1%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.8%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- PredictIt, 14 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Democratic için 58% fiyatlıyor.
- Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- PredictIt bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.<br /><br />Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No. <br /><br />PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: ForecastEx, Limitless, Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Kalshi.