Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiRick Zbur (Incumbent) 88.9%4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
2
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis25 Ağu 25 15:04 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the option matching the candidate certified by the California Secretary of State as the winner of California State Assembly District 51 in the November 3, 2026 general election (after any recounts/court-ordered adjustments).
- Primary outcomes do not resolve this market.
- Verification: California SOS results portal and the final Statement of Vote; LA County Registrar results may be used as corroboration.
- Links: https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/ and https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results and https://results.lavote.gov/.
- (sos.ca.gov, sonomacounty.ca.gov)