Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiElon Musk 100%61 seçenek arasında lider
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32
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis27 Kas 25 00:44 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Dwarkesh Patel be a NYT bestselling author before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Dwarkesh Patel interview a current or former US President before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will be guest on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast?
Manifold MarketsUpOnly podcast: Guests this year
KalshiIf Dwarkesh Patel arm wrestled Trenton bricken, would he win?
Manifold MarketsThe Joe Rogan Experience: Guests in 2026
KalshiKurallar
Resolves YES to every guest who appears on the podcast.
- The episode must not merely be recorded but also be released to the public, officially, not via a leak, for it to count.
- Any submissions made after the podcast episode is released to the public will be N/A'd.
- Dwarkesh Patel option note
- Will resolve YES if there is an episode where he is interviewed, like the AMA episode from 25th March 2025
- Update 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Collaborative episodes (where Dwarkesh collaborates with another podcast/creator) will count for resolution purposes if the episode appears on the Dwarkesh podcast feed and YouTube channel.
