Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiChuck Grassley 74%11 seçenek arasında lider
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40
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
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Guncelligini yitirmis26 Ağu 24 15:23 UTC1 Oca 27 07:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the next President of the United States die in office?
Manifold MarketsWill Putin die in office?
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiKurallar
Feel free to add anyone who’s in power, or current running for one of the positions listed below.
- Each answer will Resolve YES if the person died in an eligible position of power, and NO if they aren’t in office at the time of their death.
- Eligible seats of power:
- US Congress-person (not state congress)
- State Governor
- President, VP, or Cabinet Member (see full list)
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.4%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,9 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺41,1 Mn
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.8pt8.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺33,1 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt59.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt39.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-1.4pt8.1%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+3.0pt20%
- October-0.5pt10%
- September 30,-1.1pt4%
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.7pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Sık sorulan sorular
- Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 21 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Chuck Grassley için 74% fiyatlıyor.
- Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Feel free to add anyone who’s in power, or current running for one of the positions listed below.